The KRG has set a date for an independence referendum in September, with the announcement coming just days after high-level talks in Russia secured preliminary deals with Rosneft. If anything, the timing implies the KRG is unlikely to push for independence immediately after the vote.

Nechirvan Barzani, Prime Minister in Iraq’s Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) attended the St Petersburg International Economic Forum earlier this month where he held talks with Russian leaders...