With 280,000 b/d shut in at Kirkuk, a standoff with the KRG and $46bn in Islamic State damage, northern Iraq poses Baghdad’s biggest challenges. Relations with Ankara have been strained, but Turkey could be critical to solving these issues.

Iraq’s Oil Minister Jabbar al-Luaibi is scheduled to visit Ankara in the coming days to discuss the resumption of Kirkuk exports to Ceyhan, a key imperative for restarting production at the Avana Dome and Bai Hassan. Federal Iraqi forces...