The IEA’s ‘Oil 2019’ medium term outlook to 2024 provides galling reading for Kuwait. The emirate’s oil sector is in a state of upheaval, with its 2020 targets lying in tatters (MEES, 14 December 2018) amid an organizational overhaul (MEES, 15 February). Amid this, the IEA has now significantly downgraded its expectations for Kuwait crude production capacity.

The IEA last year forecast capacity reaching 3.07mn b/d this year, growing incrementally out to 2021, and...