1. Egypt Oil Output: Any Chance Of A Rebound?

    ...cord 61,800 b/d for 2H 2020, a record 12% of Egypt’s total output, effectively maintaining the monthly record 62,000 b/d hit last August (MEES, 18 September 2020). Having averaged 40,000 b/d for the decade to 2017, GPC output from onshore fields in the Eastern and Western Desert, has rapidly increased si...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 04
    Published at Fri, 29 Jan 2021
  2. Adnoc’s Sour Crude Wins Over Buyers In China

    ...0,000 b/d production capacity (Adnoc 60%, Exxon Mobil 28%, Inpex 12%: see chart 2). The partners are working to expand capacity to 1mn b/d by 2024 (MEES, 17 November 2017). Upper Zakum is one of the deliverable grades for the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) oil futures contract which was la...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 04
    Published at Fri, 29 Jan 2021
  3. Thailand Crude Imports: Mideast Share Falls To Record Low

    ...the UAE in 2017 when Saudi notched up a record 259,000 b/d, Saudi volumes have since slipped back: 2020’s 195,000 b/d was a six-year low.   *The USA was number three with volumes rising 12,000 b/d to a record 98,000 b/d for 2020.   *Gaining market share at the Gulf’s expense have be...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 04
    Published at Fri, 29 Jan 2021
  4. Algeria’s Power Output Falls For First Time On Record In 2020

    ...20, but was also the second highest on record ahead of 2017’s 14.45GW (see chart 2). The good news is that peak demand remains well below Algeria’s installed capacity, which rose by 900MW to 22.9GW last year. That buffer isn’t as large as it looks, however. In reality, Algeria’s ‘available ca...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 04
    Published at Fri, 29 Jan 2021
  5. Saudi Arabia Unveils PIF’s Five Year Strategy

    ...erall, Saudi GDP growth has been slow since the late-2014 oil price crash (see chart 1). The late-2017 decision to end austerity measures (MEES, 22 December 2017) that were crimping growth had been paying dividends, but the unprecedented turmoil of last year derailed the economy. The IMF’s latest es...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 04
    Published at Fri, 29 Jan 2021
  6. 2021: A Year of Challenges & Opportunities For Iraqi Kurdish Oil

    ...0,000 b/d-worth of production from Avana Dome and Bai Hassan fields to federal Iraqi troops in late 2017 (MEES, 20 October 2017), the semi-autonomous region managed to grow its overall oil output. Based on company figures and estimates, MEES puts average-2020 production at 454,000 b/d – a figure closely in...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 03
    Published at Fri, 22 Jan 2021
  7. Kurdistan Oil At Center Of Iraq Budget Disputes

    ...me after federal forces retreated from the Islamic State in 2014. The federal government reclaimed these assets in 2017 MEES, 20 October 2017). The Opec+ cuts are primarily from an October 2018 baseline, when KRG output was approximately 400,000 b/d. Whichever way you look at it, full-year pr...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 03
    Published at Fri, 22 Jan 2021
  8. IEA Slashes Demand Outlook Amid Tighter Global Restrictions

    ...oduction. Again, these downgrades have been frontloaded (see chart 3). DEMAND FOR OPEC CRUDE              The IEA sees the Call on Opec averaging 27.70mn b/d for 2021, up 4.8mn b/d on the 2020 level. As recently as 2017 it was 32mn b/d. And while the call doesn’t equate to actual demand for Opec cr...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 03
    Published at Fri, 22 Jan 2021
  9. Algeria Sees $10.6bn 2020 Trade Deficit With Revenues At 18-Year Low

    ...me (MEES, 17 June 2020), policy initiatives have been state-driven and focused on dealing with the symptoms rather than the underlying malaise: from printing money (MEES, 13 October 2017), to banning whole swathes of imports (MEES, 1 January 2018). Official foreign currency reserves collapsed from al...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 03
    Published at Fri, 22 Jan 2021
  10. Chevron And Energean Face Off For Israel Acreage

    ...7tcf Athena prospect. If substantial gas is discovered, Energean says it will prioritize development ahead of Tanin which lies further away from the planned Energean Power FPSO. MEES understands Energean is set to relinquish Block 22 offshore Israel, which it was awarded along with Block 12 in 2017...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 02
    Published at Fri, 15 Jan 2021
  11. Korea, Taiwan 2020 Crude Imports: Volumes Down, Mideast Down Further

    ...nual figure since 2011, with Q3’s 284,000 b/d the lowest quarterly figure since 2010. Number three Iraq saw volumes fall 34% to a six-year low 220,000 b/d, whilst number four the UAE saw a 15% fall to 206,000 b/d.   *As recently as 2017, Iran was Korea’s number three supplier (behind Kuwait). Bu...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 02
    Published at Fri, 15 Jan 2021
  12. Iraq Baiji Refinery Sees Restart Of Second CDU

    ...th Mosul and other parts of northern Iraq liberated from the Islamic State in 2017, demand for electricity (powered by fuel oil) and transport fuels has skyrocketed, leading to significant shortages. Furthermore, the 140,000 b/d additions from the two restored Baiji units help Iraq keep its costly im...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 02
    Published at Fri, 15 Jan 2021
  13. Qatar Keeps Crown As Largest LNG Exporter For 2020

    ...ven that Qatar is working to expand capacity to 126mn t/y by 2027 and expects first gas from its new trains in 2025 (MEES, 10 April 2020). Qatar’s continued presence at the top in recent years came despite the Saudi-led economic embargo of Qatar from June 2017. That embargo was finally lifted last we...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 02
    Published at Fri, 15 Jan 2021
  14. Latest Saudi Discoveries Boost Unconventional Outlook

    ...pacity now stands at 400mn cfd. Meanwhile, at Midyan Aramco commissioned a 75mn cfd gas processing plant in 2017 which supplies local facilities.   SAUDI ARABIA: RECENT FINDS & KEY UNCONVENTIONAL BASINS  ...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021
  15. Exxon’s Star Shines Brightest Among Egypt’s Slew Of Mediterranean Awards

    ...ell (MEES, 24 March 2017). A 2018 paper from Eni’s Zohr discovery team notes that Shell was “targeting the extension of the classic Tertiary clastic play of the Nile Delta, which turned out to be not commercial,” whilst the Zohr find resulted from “something profoundly different… isolated carbonate bu...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021
  16. Majors Write Off $69bn in Year To Forget

    ...ainst a long-term horizon rather than prevailing oil prices. 4: MAJORS CAPEX PLANS ($BN): HAVING BOOSTED SPENDING AGGRESSIVELY IN 2017-19, EXXON HAS NOW REVERSED COURSE *LATEST FORECASTS FOR 2020. 2021 PLANS AS PER LATE-NOVEMBER ANNOUNCEMENTS (MID POINT FOR EXXON). SOURCE: COMPANIES, ME...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021
  17. Saudi Surprises Market With 1mn B/D Production Cut

    ...nter months. But such leniency was not afforded to Gulf producers such as Iraq and the UAE in the summer when their domestic demand peaked. Russia’s compliance ever since the initial start of Opec+ cuts in January 2017 has been patchy at best, but it is typically afforded a free pass so long as co...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021
  18. Long-Running Qatar Embargo Ends With GCC Summit Agreement

    ...Three and a half years after it began, the embargo of Qatar is over as Saudi Arabia and its allies agreed to restore ties. The decision appears based on pragmatic economic calculations, with Saudi Arabia keen to attract foreign investment. But the scars from 2017’s actions mean that full re...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021
  19. Tethys Spuds Oman Wildcat

    ...at could become a major exploration push for unconventional resources in the underexplored Omani south. Tethys acquired seismic in the area in 2017 (MEES, 24 November 2017), and received a significant boost in November when US shale powerhouse EOG signed up at the block as a junior partner with a 50% in...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021
  20. Libya Power Plant Progress

    ...r four SGT5-PAC 2000E Siemens combustion turbine generator units,” the firm said in a 6 January press release. Enka’s German partner on the projects, Siemens, costed the two plants at a combined €700mn ($826mn) at the time of the original award by state-power firm Gecol in 2017. But construction ha...

    Volume: 64
    Issue: 01
    Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021