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Libya: Terminals Reopen, Instability Remains, Haftar Strengthened?
...Egypt, the UAE and to an extent Russia. The US responded to an attempt by Mr Jathran to sell an illicit crude cargo in March 2014 by intercepting the North Korea-flagged vessel (MEES 21 March 2014), but “the Americans will never ever stop a Russian – or Egyptian or UAE – flagged ship,” says Pu...
Volume: 61Issue: 28Published at Fri, 13 Jul 2018 -
Syria: Key Crossing Open
...uckers would embark on the five-hour Beirut-Amman trek despite the ongoing civil war, but when the crossing closed, it stymied exports. Customs data show that export volumes at the Masnaa crossing on the Beirut-Damascus highway fell from $495mn in 2014 to $103mn in 2016—a key reason why total Lebanese ex...
Volume: 61Issue: 28Published at Fri, 13 Jul 2018 -
Algeria: Reserves Slump To 12-Year Low, But Country Has Bigger Problems
...e country’s finances. Instead Algiers has opted for the highly-inflationary path of printing money to finance the country’s expected $19bn 2018 deficit (a cumulative $80bn since 2014 – MEES, 19 October 2017). A temporary ban on a whole swathe of imports is Algeria’s other key ‘alternative’ economic me...
Volume: 61Issue: 28Published at Fri, 13 Jul 2018 -
Egypt Pledges To End Energy Subsidies Within 12 Months
...nister and central bank chief blame “persisting financial difficulties in view of higher than expected oil prices,” for slow progress in cutting Egypt’s dues but repeat that Egypt “remains committed to fully eliminating arrears by end-June 2019.” The biggest dent in receivables was made in July 2014 wh...
Volume: 61Issue: 28Published at Fri, 13 Jul 2018 -
Iraq Oil Revenues Soar But Stretched Southern Export Capacity Caps Gains
...port revenues – the first time since August 2014 that Iraq has recorded back-to-back months in excess of $7bn. MEES estimates that if export volumes and prices remain stable throughout 2018, Iraq’s annual earnings will be close to 2014’s $84.12bn, though still well shy of 2012’s record $94.03bn wh...
Volume: 61Issue: 27Published at Fri, 06 Jul 2018 -
Saudi-Kuwait Neutral Zone: Supply Concerns Spur Restart Rumors
...2012, falling to 255,000 b/d in 2013 and just 140,000 in 3Q 2014, the last full quarter of production (see chart). Meanwhile, the PNZ’s onshore portion is managed by a JV of KGOC and Saudi Arabian Chevron. Output here averaged 190,000 b/d in 1Q 2015 before operations were halted that May (ME...
Volume: 61Issue: 27Published at Fri, 06 Jul 2018 -
Lebanon’s Recurring Power Nightmare
...cording to the United Nations Development Program (UNDP). The country continued its push for an LNG import tender (MEES, 4 April 2014), but the political crisis beset on the nation from 2014-16 scuttled the effort. Immediate relief from the overpriced Turkish powerships looked the only feasible op...
Volume: 61Issue: 27Published at Fri, 06 Jul 2018 -
$11bn Egypt Petchems Project Belatedly Green Lighted
...onomic zone will also likely boost Suez Canal revenues, which in 2017 amounted to $5.28bn, second only to the record $5.47bn in 2014 (MEES, 19 January). The Tahrir project will be part financed by a $5.4bn debt package. Carbon Holdings says it is “at an advanced stage of securing financing” from ex...
Volume: 61Issue: 27Published at Fri, 06 Jul 2018 -
Egypt Indicators Show Recovery Is Gathering Pace
...arter of 2016. It has since risen steadily with Q1-3 2017-18 revenue of $7.25bn up 155% year-on-year. The Suez Canal, another source of much needed income for Cairo, also saw revenue dip in 2016, to $5.005bn versus 2014’s record $5.465bn. But the growth in shipments of US oil and LNG to Asia has pr...
Volume: 61Issue: 27Published at Fri, 06 Jul 2018 -
Total Shrugs Off Regional Tensions, Eyes Further Qatar Projects
...17 chg % 2Q16 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 ME...
Volume: 60Issue: 30Published at Fri, 28 Jul 2017 -
US Firms Scale Back Investment, Claim Output Unaffected
...twithstanding, the lack of major project sanctions will hit firms’ revenue stream early next decade. “It remains to be seen whether [this] strategy… is sustainable given that their finances still largely benefit from cash flow generated by projects sanctioned before 2014,” the IEA says, noting that those firms to...
Volume: 60Issue: 30Published at Fri, 28 Jul 2017 -
Libya Looks To Corral IOCs Into Activity Boost
...en shut in for more than two years due to a combination of security concerns, infrastructure damage and a lack of a route to market. The 250,000 b/d Ras Lanuf export terminal on the Sirte basin coast re-opened in September 2016 having stopped exporting in December 2014. The nearby Es Sider terminal, wi...
Volume: 60Issue: 30Published at Fri, 28 Jul 2017 -
Upstream Investment: Are Shortfall Fears Overblown?
...The IEA and others continue to flag up an investment ‘shortfall’ and supposed coming supply crunch. Are such worries overstated? Global upstream capex was $434bn in 2016, a multi-year low. This was down 25% from 2015 and 40% below the 2014 peak of $730bn, according to the IEA’s ‘World En...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Algeria Re-Tenders 3.6bcm/y Ain Tsila Gas Development
...September 2014. In June 2015, Petroceltic was still bullish that the EPC award would be made by the end of the year: then Chairman Robert Adair flagged up a likely EPC award and the start of development drilling “before the end of 2015,” with progress here “the key determinants” of hitting the th...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Suez Canal Revenues Show Signs Of Recovery In 2017
...e October 2015 downing of a Russian charter jet over the Sinai peninsula (see chart). The fall in Suez Canal revenues has been more modest: 2016 revenues were down 3% on 2015 and 9% on 2014’s record takings (MEES, 20 January). Flows through the canal are seasonal, with Q3 typically the high po...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Opec Revenue: Sour Crude Shortfall Mitigates Price Crunch
...own no sign of halting so far, with the differential narrowing for the past five consecutive months to $1.21/B in June. This is not just the smallest differential since August 2014, but also the most consistent narrowing since early 2010 (see chart). Although Brent crude prices have weakened to be...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Saudi Crude Exports Lowest Since 2014 As Oil Burning Ramps Up
...Saudi crude oil exports averaged 6.924mn b/d in May, their lowest level since October 2014 and down 82,000 b/d from April. This comes as crude burning rose by 180,000 b/d to 604,000 b/d in line with seasonal trends (see below for full data). With burning set to have risen further in June an...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Gulf Bond Issues To Set New Highs As Cash Crunch Continues
...ound $60bn annually in 2013 and 2014, $70bn in 2015 and $78bn last year. If the current trends continue, bonds could overtake loans this year. This would be significant for a region traditionally dominated by relationship-driven bank lending. Diversifying funding sources would also help to si...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Iran’s Budget Deficit Soars In 2016-17
...VENUE FIGURES (IR TRN) 2016-17 vs 2015-16 2015-16 vs 2014-16 2014...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
GCC States Double Down On Gas Development
...M) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014...
Volume: 60Issue: 28Published at Fri, 14 Jul 2017