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Opec Output Falls Ahead Of Key Meeting As US Shale Eyes Price Rally
...US E&P companies in October was the most of any month in 2017 and that the additional capital will facilitate increased investment and support US crude output growth. 1: OPEC BASKET AT $4/B PREMIUM TO WTI, 5-YEAR LOW DISCOUNT TO BRENT ($/B, MONTHLY AVERAGE PRICES*) SOURCE: ICE, OPEC. ME...
Volume: 60Issue: 45Published at Fri, 10 Nov 2017 -
US Exports Make More Waves, Taking Opec Share In Core Asian Markets
...ead with imports of 8.53mn b/d for January-September 2017 versus 7.97mn b/d for the US). But here too US trading patterns have been making waves, with imports from Saudi Arabia falling to just 504,000 b/d in October (based on weekly data to 27 October) the lowest monthly figure since 1987. For the we...
Volume: 60Issue: 44Published at Fri, 03 Nov 2017 -
Opec Producers Cash In On WTI Weakness Amid Tight Asia Market
...• Cuts to Opec output from the start of 2017 have focussed on the grouping’s Mideast core. This has tightened markets in Asia, raising the value of the Opec crude basket against Brent, and especially US marker WTI. The latter is priced at Cushing, Oklahoma, an inland location just to the no...
Volume: 60Issue: 44Published at Fri, 03 Nov 2017 -
Opec Members Maneuvering For Advantage In Key Asian Export Markets
...eas. Exports to the US initially held up in 2017, but the intense scrutiny afforded to US figures has seen Opec increasingly cut there, to boost oil prices. Saudi Arabia and Iraq are the two largest Opec suppliers of crude oil to the US. Provisional weekly figures from the US government’s EIA shows cr...
Volume: 60Issue: 43Published at Fri, 27 Oct 2017 -
Saudi ‘Demonstrates Leadership’ by Keeping Crude Exports Low
...FINING MOMENTUM Much of the crude export drop-off is a result of lowering crude production, but not all. Saudi Arabia’s strategy at the beginning of 2017 was to prioritize exporting crude over refining it, but this has now firmly switched. Refining runs are now being boosted at the ex...
Volume: 60Issue: 42Published at Fri, 20 Oct 2017 -
Does Opec Have A Strategy For ‘Lower For Ever’?
...rrels for products – as of end-September, Mr Barkindo says. This is less than half of the 338mn-barrel figure at the start of 2017 when the output cut deal went into effect and down by a further 11mn barrels from the end-August figure (MEES, 13 October). However more than half of the ‘gains’ in re...
Volume: 60Issue: 42Published at Fri, 20 Oct 2017 -
Opec Members Set For Major Revenue Boost Despite Slow Rebalancing
...Opec-led production curbs since the start of 2017 have so far failed to bring about the planned market rebalancing. They look likely to be extended to at least the end of 2018. But while global oil inventories remain well oversupplied, this year’s price gains are set to boost Opec revenues by ar...
Volume: 60Issue: 41Published at Fri, 13 Oct 2017 -
Opec Focuses On Exports As Compliance Slips Further
...dress its compliance with existing commitments. OPEC COMPLIANCE WANES After a strong start to 2017, output has been on a steady upwards trend since April. Opec production has grown for each of the last two quarters, and all three quarters so far in 2017 have posted year-on-year gains (see ch...
Volume: 60Issue: 40Published at Fri, 06 Oct 2017 -
Non-Opec’s Mixed Bag
...The non-Opec signatories to the late-2016 output deal pledged to cut just under 600,000 b/d, of which 300,000 b/d from Russia. Russia hit this for the first time in August and repeated the trick in September, although it remains around 80,000 b/d above target on average over 2017 so far. Th...
Volume: 60Issue: 40Published at Fri, 06 Oct 2017 -
Russia Extends Lead Over Saudi In China As Overall Imports Fall
...wn (see chart, p16). Total Chinese crude imports were 8.014mn b/d, the lowest figure this year, though still 5% up on the 2016 average of 7.61mn b/d. This magnitude of gains, as opposed to the 14% year-on-year growth implied by China’s 8.53mn b/d January-July 2017 imports, is much more in line wi...
Volume: 60Issue: 39Published at Fri, 29 Sep 2017 -
Saudi: Opec Should Stick To Its Guns
...ojected at around 1.3mn b/d [for 2017: Mr Muhanna’s figures broadly tally with an average of the most recent forecasts from Opec and the IEA – MEES, 15 September]. When the demand is ahead of supply the market is on a strong footing.” Progress towards Opec’s stated goal of bringing OECD stocks down to fi...
Volume: 60Issue: 39Published at Fri, 29 Sep 2017 -
Saudi Crude Exports At 3-Year Low: Oil Burn Peaks Amid Opec Curbs
...cord 1.02mn b/d for the year as a whole, up from MEES’ previous 991,000 b/d 2017 forecast (MEES, 18 August). Increased oil burn has directly hit the volume of crude available for export. Crude exports, at 6.693mn b/d in July, were down for the fourth straight month and at their lowest level since Au...
Volume: 60Issue: 38Published at Fri, 22 Sep 2017 -
Oil Market Surplus To 2019 Despite Strong Growth Projections
...erproduction, if the group’s output stays flat for the remainder of 2017, demand ought to slightly outstrip supply over the course of the year. The IEA pegs demand for Opec crude at 32.70mn b/d for 2017 as a whole, while Opec puts it slightly lower at 32.67mn b/d. MEES calculates this would result in supply sh...
Volume: 60Issue: 37Published at Fri, 15 Sep 2017 -
US Cuts Output Growth Forecasts On Harvey, Lower Prices
...mainder of 2017 is less than might have been expected as the organization had already factored in an expected hurricane-season-related dip to August and September output. The latest STEO has US crude output rebounding to 9.29mn b/d in September, the highest figure since October 2015, though Gulf of Me...
Volume: 60Issue: 37Published at Fri, 15 Sep 2017 -
Libyan Output Fall Grants Opec Temporary Relief
...rget last month, with official figures showing production averaged 10.91mn b/d. Disruption from Hurricane Harvey caused US crude production to fall 750,000 b/d to 8.8mn b/d for the week ending 1 September (see p12). The US is not participating in output cuts, and its production has soared in 2017. Wh...
Volume: 60Issue: 36Published at Fri, 08 Sep 2017 -
China Crude Imports Grow At Record Rate: Can It Last?
...China has been the key driver of global oil demand this year. Consumption, as defined by output plus imports, rose by 7.8% (900,000 b/d) to 12.42mn b/d for the first seven months of 2017, around half of total global growth for the same period. Falling domestic output means the country’s cr...
Volume: 60Issue: 35Published at Fri, 01 Sep 2017 -
Storm Before The Storm: US Saudi Imports Plumb 29-Year Low
...Chinese market share, at 11.3%, was the lowest on record. Adding insult to injury, the three key countries to have gained at Saudi expense – Russia (now clear number one at 1.18mn b/d for January-July 2017), Angola (at 1.06mn b/d, a fraction ahead of Saudi), and Iraq, are all party to the Opec/non-Op...
Volume: 60Issue: 35Published at Fri, 01 Sep 2017 -
GCC Currencies: To Peg Or Not To Peg?
...untries’ currencies are pegged to the dollar (in Kuwait’s case as part of a currency basket in which the US currency is the key component), whilst all except Oman and Bahrain are members of Opec. SAUDI STRETCHED Saudi’s budget deficit of $19.4bn in H1 2017 was covered from a financing package of SR...
Volume: 60Issue: 34Published at Fri, 25 Aug 2017 -
US Shale Output – Gains Continue Despite Cost-Cutting, Fewer New Rigs
...528 set in October 2014. July’s month-on-month gains, at 14, are the lowest since June last year: December 2016 to April 2017 saw an average of 50 rigs a month added. MORE WITH LESS? These figures so far chime with the ‘more for less’ mantra of US shale-focused companies in their recent Q2 ea...
Volume: 60Issue: 33Published at Fri, 18 Aug 2017 -
Opec Banks On Oil Demand Boost From Stronger Economic Growth
...Waning compliance with the Opec/non-Opec “declaration of cooperation” to curb crude output is severely hampering efforts to rebalance the crude market. Allied with strong production gains elsewhere, this poor compliance has helped keep global stock levels high, putting a lid on prices in 2017...
Volume: 60Issue: 32Published at Fri, 11 Aug 2017