1. KRG Pipeline Politics: Ankara-Baghdad Balancing Act Looks Increasingly Perilous

    ...ntracts as an offset against 2014-15 prepayments (MEES, 11 March 2016). However, even the month’s $304mn in payments was more than the value of crude exported based on MEES calculations which presume a 30% discount to Brent (see graph). The export pipeline is back up and running, leaving 20 complete da...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  2. Keystone Cops It From KRG Revenue Collapse

    ...bt rather than because it feels Sheikh Adi is not economically viable, GKP tells MEES. Revenue rose from $38.6mn in 2014 to $86.2mn last year, while operating costs fell by around a third from $7bn to $5bn. However, the Sheikh Adi impairment propelled GKP to an after-tax loss of $135mn, down fr...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  3. Saudi Draws Down Stocks, Boosting Exports, Runs To Near Record Levels

    ...7,000b/d. •  Both Yasref and the similarly–sized Satorp joint venture refinery with Total, which reached full capacity in 2014, were built with diesel exports in mind – particularly to Europe. January’s gross diesel exports of 567,000 b/d were also a record, inching above the 566,000 b/d set in May 2015. Net di...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  4. India Presses Buyers’ Advantage In Oversupplied LNG Market

    ...% for Q4 2015. These figures are way down on 82% for 2014-15 and a whopping 89% for 2013-14 (see graph). Qatari LNG exports to India were at 10.90mn tons for the 2014-15 fiscal year (ending in March 2015), down from 11.58mn tons the year before. Qatar’s share has fallen as other suppliers su...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  5. Turkey’s Tüpraş Racks Up Profits, Maxes Output As Runs Of Iraqi Crude Double

    ...3,000 b/d last year, taking capacity utilization to 98% from 72% in 2014, when the installation of a residue upgrader at the Izmit refinery constrained operations. The upgrader was started up in May 2015. Tüpraş received a fillip as Mediterranean refining margins rose from $1.95/B in 2014 to $4.83/B for 20...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  6. Turkish Demand ‘Soars’ But Stats Under Fire

    ...rrels conversion factors – original Turkish data is in tons). The one anomaly is the ‘other’ category for which the IEA has 104,000 b/d, well down on the 168,000 b/d Jodi figure (thus the IEA total of 863,000 b/d is also around 60,000 b/d less). But for 2014 and previous years the IEA still awaits co...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  7. Moroccan Renewable Plans Have Wind In Their Sails With 2GW Target In Sight

    ...almost 790MW, according to UAE-based renewables agency Irena. This includes Africa’s largest wind farm, 300MW Tarfaya on the Atlantic coast just north of the border with Western Sahara, which was completed in late 2014 (MEES, 19 December 2014). Morocco plans two other wind farms with a co...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  8. Will Oil Price Rebound Delay Market Balance?

    ...pidly: averaging 4.0mn b/d for 2015, up 670,000 b/d on 2014, recent major cuts to capex mean such gains will not be repeated this year. As if just to make sure its output would not be constrained by any Opec deal, Iraq’s Oil Minister ‘Adil ‘Abd al-Mahdi claimed on 17 March during the Sulaymaniyah Forum 4....

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  9. Algeria’s In Salah Gas Plant Hit By Rocket Attack

    ...turned to a normal staffing rotation at In Amenas in September 2014 after specialists had visited the site in June to verify the implementation of the “last security measures” and prepare for a resumption of “ordinary operations,” said the company in a statement in September 2014. According to the st...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  10. Shell’s Plans For BG Egypt Still Uncertain As Unconventional Gas Start-Up Nears

    ...iro about further developing the field. Under an initial deal finalized in December 2014, Shell and Apache were to receive $5.45/mn BTU for gas produced from unconventional formations (MEES, 19 December 2014). However, though this is a substantial hike on the long-standard $2.65/mn BTU that Egypt pa...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  11. Shell Mideast Output Gets Oman, Iraq Boost

    ...Shell’s key Mideast interest is its 34% stake in state-led Petroleum Development Oman (PDO). Here its net production rose from 205,000 b/d in 2014 to 215,000 b/d last year, implying a rise from 603,000 b/d to 632,000 b/d in overall PDO output. PDO is by far the largest producer in Oman wi...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  12. Oman Presses On With Key Energy Projects Despite Revenue Slump

    ...om six countries contributed to the Liwa financing (see table). Oman has sought to project an image of ‘business as usual’ on energy projects despite the precipitous 70% fall in oil export earnings  from an all-time record of $2.98bn in July 2014 to an implied $753mn in January, when the front-mo...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  13. Kuwait Plans Economic Reforms In Light Of Revenue Collapse

    ...tributed to the fact that Kuwait is highly dependent on hydrocarbons to drive economic growth and to finance state expenditure, with oil and gas accounting for 90% of total goods exports and roughly 63% of nominal GDP in 2014. Also hydrocarbon revenue accounts to around 77% of total government re...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  14. Egypt Devalues Currency: Will It Bring Stability?

    ...ars are overdone given that the market is already pricing imported products at the black market exchange rate. Egyptian inflation spiked after July 2014, following major cuts in energy subsidies which led petroleum product prices to soar: by 64% for diesel and kerosene, 88% for 80 Octane gasoline an...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  15. Algeria Cash Collapse

    ...With the plunge in hydrocarbon prices Algeria’s foreign exchange reserves fell by $35bn to $143bn in 2015 from a peak of $194bn in 2013, the IMF said on 14 March.  The cause is not hard to fathom: Algeria’s oil and gas export revenues fell by 41% to $35.7bn in 2015 from $60.3bn in 2014 (ME...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 11
    Published at Fri, 18 Mar 2016
  16. Iraqi Kurdistan Seeks Financial Assistance As Oil Revenues Plunge

    ...cluded $100mn from a new prepayment commitment” but “there was also an amount of $43,200,644 set off by the buyers against 2014/2015 prepayments.” The report also shows the pipeline outage contributed to the KRG falling short of its contractual obligations by 8.2mn barrels in February. Buyer A was sh...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 10
    Published at Fri, 11 Mar 2016
  17. Japanese Condensate Imports Fall In 2015, But Iranian Volumes Up, Near 50% Of Total* (‘000 B/D)

    ...  2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Qatar 154.3 151.7 188 13...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 10
    Published at Fri, 11 Mar 2016
  18. Algeria Looks To Get Refining Expansion Back On Track With FEED Awards

    ...geria’s refinery output remains comfortably larger than domestic demand. For 2015, refinery output was 576,000 b/d, down 11.5% from the 651,000 b/d produced in 2014. Demand also slid, but by only 3.4%, from 391,000 b/d in 2014 to 378,000 b/d. While refinery output was nevertheless 198,000 b/d higher th...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 10
    Published at Fri, 11 Mar 2016
  19. Egypt Eyes 11.6GW Of Coal-Fired Power, Easing Pressure On Gas Supplies

    ...built near El Hamarawein. An 18-month site study is due for completion in third quarter 2016 (MEES, 14 November 2014). These four coal-fired projects are among a number of proposed Egyptian coal-fired plants, which Cairo has flagged up since a major economic development conference in March 20...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 10
    Published at Fri, 11 Mar 2016
  20. Iraq, Nigeria Outages Lead Opec Production Fall

    ...minently. OPEC WELLHEAD PRODUCTION, FEBRUARY 2016 (MN B/D, MEES ESTIMATES)   Feb '16 Jan '16 Feb v Jan vs Feb '15 2015 2014 S Ar...

    Volume: 59
    Issue: 10
    Published at Fri, 11 Mar 2016