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Thailand Crude Imports: Mideast Share Falls To Record Low
...the UAE in 2017 when Saudi notched up a record 259,000 b/d, Saudi volumes have since slipped back: 2020’s 195,000 b/d was a six-year low. *The USA was number three with volumes rising 12,000 b/d to a record 98,000 b/d for 2020. *Gaining market share at the Gulf’s expense have be...
Volume: 64Issue: 04Published at Fri, 29 Jan 2021 -
IEA Slashes Demand Outlook Amid Tighter Global Restrictions
...oduction. Again, these downgrades have been frontloaded (see chart 3). DEMAND FOR OPEC CRUDE The IEA sees the Call on Opec averaging 27.70mn b/d for 2021, up 4.8mn b/d on the 2020 level. As recently as 2017 it was 32mn b/d. And while the call doesn’t equate to actual demand for Opec cr...
Volume: 64Issue: 03Published at Fri, 22 Jan 2021 -
Korea, Taiwan 2020 Crude Imports: Volumes Down, Mideast Down Further
...nual figure since 2011, with Q3’s 284,000 b/d the lowest quarterly figure since 2010. Number three Iraq saw volumes fall 34% to a six-year low 220,000 b/d, whilst number four the UAE saw a 15% fall to 206,000 b/d. *As recently as 2017, Iran was Korea’s number three supplier (behind Kuwait). Bu...
Volume: 64Issue: 02Published at Fri, 15 Jan 2021 -
Saudi Surprises Market With 1mn B/D Production Cut
...nter months. But such leniency was not afforded to Gulf producers such as Iraq and the UAE in the summer when their domestic demand peaked. Russia’s compliance ever since the initial start of Opec+ cuts in January 2017 has been patchy at best, but it is typically afforded a free pass so long as co...
Volume: 64Issue: 01Published at Fri, 08 Jan 2021 -
Opec+ Looks Ahead To Crunch Meeting
...riod since January 2017 (MEES, 6 January 2017). With the current agreement running to the end of April 2022, the Opec+ producers are facing up to the prospect of more than five years of cuts. Little wonder then if fatigue is setting in within the group. The post-JMMC communique said that “the Co...
Volume: 63Issue: 47Published at Fri, 20 Nov 2020 -
US Crude Output: The Only Way Is Up?
...*Latest official US crude output figures for June show output rebounding by 420,000 b/d to 10.436mn b/d from May’s 10.016mn b/d. The May figure was in turn the lowest since December 2017 and a whopping 2.84mn b/d down from last November’s peak of 12.860mn b/d. Indeed the 2.72mn b/d collapse be...
Volume: 63Issue: 36Published at Fri, 04 Sep 2020 -
Taiwan Crude Imports: Total & Mideast Volumes Stay Low
...cluded 236,000 b/d from Saudi Arabia, just above the quarterly low set in 2017. Saudi 1H 2020 volumes of 266,000 b/d were down 10% year-on-year despite record monthly arrivals of 475,000 b/d in February. Given the size of the overall fall in volumes, supplier countries chalking up sizable gains this ye...
Volume: 63Issue: 28Published at Fri, 10 Jul 2020 -
US Shale: Record Fall In May, Is This The Bottom?
...003mn b/d is down just 33,000 b/d from May. July is forecast fractionally lower, at 998,000 b/d which would be the first time below 1mn b/d for Bakken output since January 2017. These figures are substantially higher than those given by state energy regulator Lynn Helms. Speaking on 12 June Mr Helms sa...
Volume: 63Issue: 25Published at Fri, 19 Jun 2020 -
China Bags Record Imports With Saudi Surge
...raight months of zero loadings, some 340,000 tons (five cargoes) sailed for China in March, rising to 472,000 tons (seven cargoes) in April, with the latter level with the previous record set in October 2017. Indeed, China was the top overall destination for US LNG exports in April for the first time si...
Volume: 63Issue: 24Published at Fri, 12 Jun 2020 -
Saudi Oil Exports Back On Top
...opping to 7.29mn b/d, the lowest since 2017. It seems likely that the deep June production cuts Saudi Arabia is implementing will push the kingdom’s exports below the US this month, but over the course of Q2 as a whole Saudi Arabia ought to easily stay ahead of the chasing pack. SAUDI ARABIA OV...
Volume: 63Issue: 24Published at Fri, 12 Jun 2020 -
Turkey Slashes Piped Gas Imports For Cheap LNG
...sentially similar to that of Qatar in East Asia. Russia has been reluctant to cut prices in its core markets but as a result has given up market share. Russia had a market share above 50% in Turkey for every year except one between the 2004 start-up of the Blue Stream sub-Black Sea pipeline and 2017. But 20...
Volume: 63Issue: 23Published at Fri, 05 Jun 2020 -
Saudi Prioritizes Core Markets As Crude Exports Drop
...ich is actually down from around 1.9mn b/d in April. Volumes shipped to No.2 buyer Japan have soared in early May. They are now running China relatively close at more than 1.5mn b/d. The most that Japan has ever imported from Saudi Arabia over the course of a month was 1.44mn b/d in February 2017...
Volume: 63Issue: 21Published at Fri, 22 May 2020 -
Saudi Gasoline, Jet-Kero Consumption Slumps In Lockdown
...ril and May. The lowest figure in Jodi’s records is 246,000 b/d from January 2002. Saudi gasoline consumption had been falling previously anyway. Having peaked at 599,000 b/d for 2017, price increases in 2018 as part of watered-down measures to ease subsidies resulted in two consecutive annual de...
Volume: 63Issue: 21Published at Fri, 22 May 2020 -
Asian LNG Pricing: Term Premium Set To Collapse
...e set to finally slump in June, and then further in July and August as lower oil prices fully work themselves through into LNG contracts. *Japan and Korea, long the two largest LNG importers (Japan remains global number 1, Korea was overtaken by China in 2017) are the two with the highest le...
Volume: 63Issue: 21Published at Fri, 22 May 2020 -
Saudi Arabia Extracts Huge Cut Commitment From Russia
...als stretching back to January 2017, Saudi Arabia was cutting by an order of magnitude greater than Russia. This was exacerbated by last December’s deal under which Russia managed to get its condensate excluded – and subsequently increased output – while Saudi Arabia promised to cut an additional 40...
Volume: 63Issue: 15Published at Fri, 10 Apr 2020 -
Specter Of Overbrimming Stocks Threatens Vulnerable Producers
...cord levels. Absent huge production outages in excess of those arranged by Opec+ during January 2017-April 2020 these stockbuilds will take more than a year to unwind. This will exert severe downwards pressure on any price gains into at least 2021. ...
Volume: 63Issue: 14Published at Fri, 03 Apr 2020 -
Saudi Arabia’s Latest U-Turn Hits Opec Periphery Hardest
...reover, Ms Young says that some of the Abu Dhabi measures “actually backtrack on some subsidy reform.” Such measures also typically prove hard to reverse. OPEC’S 2019 OIL EXPORT REVENUES AT RISK OF FALLING BELOW 2017 LEVELS ($BN) *MEES CALCULATION BASED ON 2019 EXPORTS & PRICES. ** MEES PR...
Volume: 63Issue: 12Published at Fri, 20 Mar 2020 -
Global Inventories Set To Swell Amid Opec Showdown
...awdown of inventories that has taken place since 2017. The IEA and Opec released their monthly oil market reports this week, with both making sharp downgrades to demand growth expectations in light of the escalating Covid-19 pandemic (see tables). The IEA now sees demand contracting by 90,000 b/d th...
Volume: 63Issue: 11Published at Fri, 13 Mar 2020 -
US Shale In The Time Of Lower Prices
...97mn b/d in March 2015 by mid-2016 production was almost 15% lower. But lower prices spurred a wave of cost cutting, and higher oil prices since 2017 have provided an extra boost (to put it mildly). By late 2017 output had topped 2015 highs. And it hadn’t looked back since. Until now. Latest pr...
Volume: 63Issue: 11Published at Fri, 13 Mar 2020 -
Opec Gets No Cuts In The Time Of Coronavirus
...commendation for Opec+ to deepen cuts by 1.5mn b/d (1mn b/d to Opec and 500,000 b/d to non-Opec) for Q2, before returning to Q1 levels for the remainder of 2020, Brent settled below $50/B for the first time since July 2017. A matter of hours later, Opec released a fresh announcement that it recommended the 1....
Volume: 63Issue: 10Published at Fri, 06 Mar 2020