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Opec In 2018: More Revenue Less Market Share?
...13 2014 2015 2016 2017^ vs 2016 2018^ vs 20...
Volume: 60Issue: 51/52Published at Fri, 22 Dec 2017 -
Saudi Crude Exports At 7-Year Low, Outweighing Products Gains
...ch occurrence since 2014. The 6.65mn b/d exported in Q3 this year was down 290,000 b/d on Q2 and the lowest figure since 2011 (see table, MEES November 24). But has the nadir now passed? Initial indications imply there was a slight increase in crude exports in October, while Saudi Arabia an...
Volume: 60Issue: 47Published at Fri, 24 Nov 2017 -
Saudi ‘Demonstrates Leadership’ by Keeping Crude Exports Low
...most three years ago (MEES, 22 December 2014). Supplies to the closely-watched US market are at 30-year lows and Saudi Arabia has confirmed there will be no easing up in November. In a first statement of its kind the Saudi energy ministry said on 9 October that the kingdom will export 7.15mn b/d in No...
Volume: 60Issue: 42Published at Fri, 20 Oct 2017 -
Does Opec Have A Strategy For ‘Lower For Ever’?
...rket share based strategy chimes with that enunciated by former Saudi Oil Minister Ali Naimi in late 2014 (MEES, 22 December 2014) but now abandoned. This requires a price low enough to drive competitors out of the market. But the strategy of foregoing short-term revenue for long-term gain was ab...
Volume: 60Issue: 42Published at Fri, 20 Oct 2017 -
Russia Extends Lead Over Saudi In China As Overall Imports Fall
...their lowest level since early 2014. Indeed for five of the last six months, including August (977,000 b/d), rival Opec producer Angola has bested Saudi for second place. But not only are Chinese imports from Saudi Arabia down in August, those from Russia and overall import volumes are also do...
Volume: 60Issue: 39Published at Fri, 29 Sep 2017 -
Saudi Crude Exports At 3-Year Low: Oil Burn Peaks Amid Opec Curbs
...Saudi Arabia’s crude exports are at their lowest level since August 2014 as the kingdom deals with the double-whammy of increased summer demand and reduced output in accordance with last November’s Opec agreement. Saudi Arabia’s oil burn hit 1.39mn b/d in July, the highest figure on re...
Volume: 60Issue: 38Published at Fri, 22 Sep 2017 -
Oil Market Surplus To 2019 Despite Strong Growth Projections
...0,000 b/d to 1.6mn b/d, while Opec raised its figures by 50,000 b/d to 1.42mn b/d. The IEA’s 1.6mn b/d annual gain would be the highest since 2014. While they see a slight slowdown in 2018 (see table), both have strong growth projections in excess of 1.3mn b/d. Opec’s MOMR attributes the 50,000 b/d up...
Volume: 60Issue: 37Published at Fri, 15 Sep 2017 -
China Crude Imports Grow At Record Rate: Can It Last?
...tensity,’ measured in megajoules per dollar (see chart). World Bank data to 2014 show this falling steeply, whilst data from China’s National Energy Administration (NEA), published 24 August, show a further 14.6% fall between 2013 and 2016, Reuters reports. In other words, China’s GDP growth figures of 6....
Volume: 60Issue: 35Published at Fri, 01 Sep 2017 -
GCC Currencies: To Peg Or Not To Peg?
...Opec’s core GCC countries peg their currencies to the US dollar, an anchor that has served them well given that it is the currency in which their key export is denominated. But as the third anniversary of the late 2014 collapse in oil prices approaches, debate is becoming more lively as to wh...
Volume: 60Issue: 34Published at Fri, 25 Aug 2017 -
US Shale Output – Gains Continue Despite Cost-Cutting, Fewer New Rigs
...ministration indicates expected average June-September monthly gains for seven key US shale formations of 124,000 b/d, a level of growth in line with levels seen in the boom year of 2014. The latest projections have September output up 980,000 b/d year-on-year. Given that December last year was only up fr...
Volume: 60Issue: 33Published at Fri, 18 Aug 2017 -
US Drilling: Schlumberger Chief Calls For Caution - Has He Got His Wish?
...the 40% upstream cost reductions achieved since 2013 to ‘stick’. But others are more skeptical. The IEA estimates that global upstream costs were 35% lower in 2016 than 2014 and that around half of these savings (50-55%) are “structural” rather than “cyclical” (45-50%). Of the 45% fall in US shale co...
Volume: 60Issue: 31Published at Fri, 04 Aug 2017 -
US Firms Scale Back Investment, Claim Output Unaffected
...twithstanding, the lack of major project sanctions will hit firms’ revenue stream early next decade. “It remains to be seen whether [this] strategy… is sustainable given that their finances still largely benefit from cash flow generated by projects sanctioned before 2014,” the IEA says, noting that those firms to...
Volume: 60Issue: 30Published at Fri, 28 Jul 2017 -
Opec Revenue: Sour Crude Shortfall Mitigates Price Crunch
...own no sign of halting so far, with the differential narrowing for the past five consecutive months to $1.21/B in June. This is not just the smallest differential since August 2014, but also the most consistent narrowing since early 2010 (see chart). Although Brent crude prices have weakened to be...
Volume: 60Issue: 29Published at Fri, 21 Jul 2017 -
Gulf Crude Shipments Fall In Q2, But From Record Levels
...May. Collectively, based on the April-May stats, Q2 is on track for the third highest quarterly volumes since the start of 2014. That said, volumes likely dipped in June as Saudi Arabia ramped up crude burning in its power plants leaving less crude for exports. MEES estimates that Saudi crude ex...
Volume: 60Issue: 26Published at Fri, 30 Jun 2017 -
Saudi Crude Exports Down, Refining Runs Up, More Products Exports
...e kingdom so far having prioritized its core buyers in Asia and the US. The big four Asian buyers – China, Japan, South Korea and India – took a record 4.216mn b/d in Q1, while the 1.285mn b/d purchased by the US was the highest since Q1 2014. The implication is that supplies to Europe are being sq...
Volume: 60Issue: 25Published at Fri, 23 Jun 2017 -
Opec Confirms 13% 2016 Revenue Fall: Iran The One Winner
...12 2013 2014 2015 2016 vs'15% vs '12% 2017* vs'16...
Volume: 60Issue: 24Published at Fri, 16 Jun 2017 -
Libya, Nigeria Gains Expose Opec Deal’s Limitations
...nce November 2016, while Libya’s 770,000 b/d was its highest monthly output since October 2014. Both countries have flattered to deceive in the recent past, securing production gains that they have been unable to maintain and this may again be the case. This has especially been the case in Libya wh...
Volume: 60Issue: 23Published at Fri, 09 Jun 2017 -
Gulf Opec Maintains Asia Volumes But Loses Market Share
...r the first four months of 2017, down from 48.0% a year earlier and over 52% for 2013 and 2014. Opec’s core Gulf members are increasingly coming up against an upstart newcomer in the lucrative Asian markets – the US. The growing volumes of US liquids turning up in Asia are indicative of the on...
Volume: 60Issue: 22Published at Fri, 02 Jun 2017 -
Opec Output Cuts Extended But Market Relevance Wanes
...b17 Jan17 Dec16 2016 2015 2014 S Arabia* 9.98 -0....
Volume: 60Issue: 21Published at Fri, 26 May 2017 -
Opec Facing Tough Choices Ahead Of Vienna Meeting
...rporation (NOC) claimed 800,000 b/d-plus output last week, a level it has not sustained for a whole month since October 2014. Production disruptions are an ever-present risk, but more than half-way through May it seems as if a sizeable monthly gain is near-guaranteed. In Nigeria, the outlook is less po...
Volume: 60Issue: 20Published at Fri, 19 May 2017