1. Assad’s Downfall Reshuffles Regional Order

    ...d previously headed the ‘Syrian Salvation Government’ created by HTS in 2017 to administer its territory in Idlib province (see map).   SYRIA’S NEW CONTROL MAP AND OIL & GAS INFRASTRUCTURE     HTS has a problematic history, to say the least. Until 2016, it was known as Ja...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 50
    Published at Fri, 13 Dec 2024
  2. Will Iraq Be Caught In The Crossfire Of Trump’s Iran Policy?

    ...restart Kurdish exports to Turkey’s port of Ceyhan. This is especially the case given rumors from Washington that pro-Kurdistan names are being touted for senior positions at the Departments of State and Energy. But the KRG has also painfully learned, from its failed independence referendum in 2017...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 47
    Published at Fri, 22 Nov 2024
  3. Tehran Takes Wary View Of US Presidential Elections

    ...timate say rests with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who sets Iran’s overall policies.  LESSER OF TWO EVILS?        That said, a look at both candidates’ track records – Mr Trump’s presidency from 2017 to 2021 and Ms Harris’ tenure under President Joe Biden – shows that they were inclined to...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 44
    Published at Fri, 01 Nov 2024
  4. Iran Prepares For Israel Retaliation

    ...ound 130,000 b/d of condensate from Assaluyeh and Kangan further south in Bushehr province.  Since their re-imposition in 2018, US sanctions have upended Iran’s customer base and sunk its oil exports from more than 2.5mn b/d in 2017 to less than 1mn b/d in 2019 and 2020, before steadily increasing to...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 41
    Published at Fri, 11 Oct 2024
  5. Chevron Inches Towards Shale-Focused Algeria Entry

    ...pped to use their expertise to help Sonatrach develop Algeria’s supposedly huge shale gas reserves, which the US Geological Survey estimates at over 700tcf and Algerian officials have pegged higher still (MEES, 20 October 2017). Chevron says that “Algeria holds a world class petroleum system with th...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 25
    Published at Fri, 21 Jun 2024
  6. Sudan’s Army Turns To Russia For Weapons In Exchange For Naval ‘Supply Point’

    ...stored diplomatic relations with Sudan (under the SAF), having severed ties under President Bashir in 2016, when Khartoum sided with Riyadh following an attack on the Saudi embassy in Tehran, and later deployed troops to join the Saudi-led coalition fighting the Houthis in Yemen (MEES, 20 January 2017...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 22
    Published at Fri, 31 May 2024
  7. Kuwait’s Emir Suspends Parliament;Can He Quell Tumultuous Divisions?

    ...ss a crucial debt law since 2017 due to opposition by MPs, these onerous spending commitments saw Kuwait rack up some $108bn in cumulative deficits over 2014-2022 (see chart 2). A 2024-2027 government program published earlier this year envisages a further surging of deficits to a colossal total of KD...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 20
    Published at Fri, 17 May 2024
  8. Iraq And US Seek To Rebuild Ties Amidst Rising Regional Tensions

    ...lations between Baghdad and Erbil are at their lowest ebb since the region’s controversial 2017 independence referendum. On the positive side, the disputes between Baghdad and Erbil did not derail the visit. Mr Sudani made sure to include representatives from the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) in hi...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 16
    Published at Fri, 19 Apr 2024
  9. Baghdad & Kurdistan IOCs Exchange Blame As Northern Export Halt Enters Second Year

    ...C executive asserts that in January accounting firm Deloitte, which has audited Kurdistan’s independent pipeline exports since 2017, shared “all contractual commercial terms that they [the Baghdad oil ministry] requested without violating the NDA [non-disclosure agreement] of contractual co...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 13
    Published at Fri, 29 Mar 2024
  10. Sudan-Iran Diplomatic Thaw Raises Stakes In Battle For Red Sea Influence

    ...men (MEES, 20 January 2017). Iran and Sudan committed to reopening their respective embassies in the other’s capitals amid the “opening of a new chapter” between Tehran and Khartoum, according to an Iranian official statement. TIPPING THE SCALE             Ç   The diplomatic br...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 07
    Published at Fri, 16 Feb 2024
  11. Deadly Militia Attack On US Outpost In Jordan Underlines Iraqi Government’s Weakness

    ...litias could destabilize a fragile reconciliation between Iraq and its Arab neighbors, and possibly threaten the economic and trade gains that Baghdad hopes will bring much-needed investment from GCC countries (MEES, 8 December 2017).            SOPHISTICATED AND STRATEGIC ATTACK       The line be...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 05
    Published at Fri, 02 Feb 2024
  12. Iran Faces Blowback After Rocket Attacks Hit Iraq, Pakistan & Syria

    ...nior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Studies. “Iran is pressuring the KDP to align with its agenda for Iraq. Iran has not forgiven the KDP for spearheading the 2017 [Kurdistan independence] referendum and siding with Sadr and Halbousi against the PMUs after the 2021 elections,” he ex...

    Volume: 67
    Issue: 03
    Published at Fri, 19 Jan 2024