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Saudi Arabia: Cutting Its Way To A 2019 Production Increase?
...Saudi Arabia says that it will do the heavy lifting under the latest round of Opec cuts, cutting deeper than its commitment if necessary. Its willingness to do so is not in question, after all it did exactly this under the previous round of cuts in place since January 2017. Yet it can exceed it...
Volume: 61Issue: 51-52Published at Fri, 21 Dec 2018 -
Market Fundamentals Point To Choppy Outlook For Opec
...mestic challenges. Unlike in the previous round of cuts from January 2017 onwards, where exemptions for Libya and Nigeria were intended to allow them to increase production, this time the exempt members are more likely to add to the scale of the cuts. Iranian production is falling as renewed US sa...
Volume: 61Issue: 50Published at Fri, 14 Dec 2018 -
Iraq Pledges 139,000 B/D Cut
...hieves capacity gains. Despite signing up for production cuts in November 2016, Iraqi output hit an annual record 4.43mn b/d in 2017 and is on track for 4.51mn b/d this year. Is another record likely in 2019? Yes. For one thing, MEES estimates the KRG could add 80,000 b/d, including 25,000 b/d each fr...
Volume: 61Issue: 50Published at Fri, 14 Dec 2018 -
Asian LNG Imports Up 14% In 2018... With Qatar Sales Up 9%
...ASIAN* LNG IMPORTS ROSE 14% FOR 10M18 (MN T): CHINA UP A WHOPPING 43% TO ALREADY TOP 2017’S ANNUAL RECORD OF 38.3MN T; KOREA, INDIA AND TAIWAN ALL ALSO ON TRACK FOR ANNUAL RECORDS BUYING FROM QATAR IS UP 9% Y-O-Y BUT STILL WELL DOWN ON RECORD 2013 LEVELS CHINA LN...
Volume: 61Issue: 49Published at Fri, 07 Dec 2018 -
OPEC Faces $200bn+ Question Next Week In Vienna
...rm or test new lows. After Brent settled below $60/B on 23 November for the first time since October 2017, prices have fluctuated either side of the line. The 2016 “Declaration of Cooperation” under which 24 countries (new Opec member Congo was not a signatory) agreed to cut some 1.8mn b/d ex...
Volume: 61Issue: 48Published at Fri, 30 Nov 2018 -
Total Reaps Mena Rewards Despite Iran Setback
...rs gas field Phase 11 and defend its position in the Abu Dhabi offshore ahead of the March 2018 expiry of its 13.33% stake in the Adma concession. Total successfully secured stakes in two of the three concessions that replaced Adma, and has held 40% at Al Shaheen since July 2017. While the return of...
Volume: 61Issue: 47Published at Fri, 23 Nov 2018 -
Saudi September Crude Exports At 20-Month High, But A Fall Is Coming
...ready in the works. Refining runs slipped to a five-month low of 2.63mn b/d in September – albeit still higher than any annual average. Meanwhile, crude exports rose to a 20-month high of 7.43mn b/d (since January 2017), up 220,000 b/d month-on-month (see data p7). January 2017’s 7.71mn b/d was the fi...
Volume: 61Issue: 47Published at Fri, 23 Nov 2018 -
Market Volatility Complicates Outlook As Opec Ponders Renewed Cuts
...ch price fluctuation within one year “is not healthy for producers, and it is definitely not healthy for consumers” (MEES, 17 November 2017). If Brent’s $22.30/B price range in 2017 was bad, this year’s $23.70/B is worse still. Omani Oil Minister Muhammad al-Rumhy said at Adipec that these ex...
Volume: 61Issue: 46Published at Fri, 16 Nov 2018 -
IEA Doubts US Shale Can ‘Single Handedly’ Meet Demand Growth
...ntinues to grow, albeit at a slower rate, out to the end of the IEA’s forecast period in 2040. Though the growth in renewables means use of oil in the power sector will fall by 2.5mn b/d versus 2017 levels, and use in cars will remain more or less level (with falling consumption in developed countries ca...
Volume: 61Issue: 46Published at Fri, 16 Nov 2018 -
Iran Launches JMMC Broadside Ahead Of Crunch Opec Meeting
...E surging 190,000 b/d to an all-time high of 3.18mn b/d, smashing the previous peak of 3.03mn b/d set in November 2016. While cutting output in 2017, albeit at a much slower pace than fellow members, the UAE continued investing in boosting production capacity and is now reaping the reward. Abu Dh...
Volume: 61Issue: 45Published at Fri, 09 Nov 2018 -
Suez Canal Trade Hits Records But Trade War Threatens
...7bn for 2018 as a whole, comfortably ahead of the previous annual record of $5.465bn set in 2014. The Suez Canal is a key revenue stream for Egypt: the record $5.71bn takings for the 2017/18 financial year equated to 12.4% of $45.9bn in state revenue, up from 11.1% in the previous financial year. Ca...
Volume: 61Issue: 43Published at Fri, 26 Oct 2018 -
US Permian Shale: Can It Maintain The Gains?
...om a stellar 150,000 b/d for February and March, monthly gains since have still averaged 50,000 b/d. Overall US ‘shale oil’ output which only topped 7mn b/d for the first time in May (and 6mn b/d eight months earlier in September 2017), is now well above 7.5mn b/d. Output of 7.53mn b/d for Se...
Volume: 61Issue: 42Published at Fri, 19 Oct 2018 -
2019 Global Oil Demand Projections Revised Down On Economic Headwinds
...IEA SUPPLY & DEMAND FORECASTS, OCTOBER 2018 (MN B/D) 2017 2018 vs 17 2019 vs 18 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q...
Volume: 61Issue: 42Published at Fri, 19 Oct 2018 -
Oil Markets Enter The ‘Red Zone’
...iversally bullish on the future of Brazil’s deepwater ‘pre salt’ output, delays and a heavy maintenance schedule mean this year’s output has been down on 2017 (MEES, 7 September). August’s output, at 2.52mn b/d was the lowest in more than two years. However the continued ramp-up at new pre salt FPSOs ma...
Volume: 61Issue: 41Published at Fri, 12 Oct 2018 -
Libya Looks To BP/Eni Deal To Unlock Upstream Investment
...nditions allowed. But as a company with no production or other assets in Libya it had never judged the timing opportune. How to square the circle? …BUT ENI EYES BIG REWARD Enter Italy’s Eni, Libya’s biggest producer with 384,000 boe/d of output for 2017 (mostly gas) and a proud record of...
Volume: 61Issue: 41Published at Fri, 12 Oct 2018 -
OPEC Production Up As Saudis Tout More In The Pipeline
...oduction rose just 100,000 b/d in September as the group struggled to offset ongoing declines in Iran and Venezuela. The 33.01mn b/d that it posted was a 14-month high, and was 110,000 b/d more than in September 2017. Opec output has averaged 32.60mn b/d over the first nine months of the year, 16...
Volume: 61Issue: 40Published at Fri, 05 Oct 2018 -
LNG Prices At Four-Year High Amid Soaring Demand
...Soaring demand for LNG, up a collective 14.5% from 2017’s record levels for the top five global buyers, has sent prices to the highest level since early 2015. With key new liquefaction plants delayed and booming Chinese demand showing no chance of slowing, are further rises in store? The wo...
Volume: 61Issue: 39Published at Fri, 28 Sep 2018 -
Saudi Oil Exports On Track For Record Year
...oducts exports are poised to top 2mn b/d for the first time this year, which would represent a massive 70% year-on-year increase on 2017’s record 1.44mn b/d. With crude exports relatively subdued, although still on course to bounce back above 7mn b/d, refined products are set to exceed 20% of total oil ex...
Volume: 61Issue: 38Published at Fri, 21 Sep 2018 -
Volatile Market Outlook Provides Opec With Challenges Ahead Of Algiers Meet
...rly 2017. Further significant falls in stocks could therefore result in substantial oil price gains and Brent is again testing near-four-year highs of $80/B. It broke the barrier during trading hours on 12 September before settling at $79.74/B. IEA SUPPLY & DEMAND FORECASTS, SEPTEMBER 20...
Volume: 61Issue: 37Published at Fri, 14 Sep 2018 -
US Oil Output Forecasts Revised Down, Energy Independence Postponed
...L FORECASTS (MN B/D) 2017 2018 vs 17 2019 vs 18 Crude Ou...
Volume: 61Issue: 37Published at Fri, 14 Sep 2018